Predictive Analysis
Some predictive analysis is relatively straightforward. Once dividends are announced, it is very rare for companies to cut or cancel them, absent extreme events such as the Covid crisis, a natural catastrophe or fraud.
Other corporate events are more difficult to predict. The majority of takeover and merger offers are completed, but the timing can be uncertain if there are multiple regulatory approvals, and a minority of deals do break for various reasons: sometimes the acquirer reneges on the offer, sometimes the target shareholders reject it, and various regulators, including competition authorities and foreign investment bodies, can veto mergers.
